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Thread: Fear Or Hope for the Future? ............................................

  1. #1
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    Redhot Jumper Fear Or Hope for the Future? ............................................



    Fear Or Hope for the Future?


    by keithbenjamin | Feb 7, 2019 | Optician Success


    When considering and planning for the future of the optical industry, it is essential that we examine it within the wider context of what is going on in the world today to get a sense of perspective.

    Hold on to your seat, because we’re about to get wide.

    We are still in the early days of the technology revolution—not in the sense of time, but in the sense of magnitude and impact. Advances are coming within the next 20 years that are so revolutionary as to be literally incomprehensible. What’s more, the time it takes for each successive advance to come to fruition will only get shorter and shorter until we reach a point where the advances propagate themselves.
    Does this sound like science fiction? Keep reading.

    Our intuition about the future is linear. But the reality of information technology is exponential, and that makes a profound difference. If I take 30 steps linearly, I get to 30. If I take 30 steps exponentially, I get to a billion.
    —Ray Kurzweil

    What does this have to do with optical retail success?

    Everything. Because, as much as it sounds like hyperbole, all that we know is about to change.
    Ray Kurzweil, futurist and Director of Engineering at Google, predicts that by 2029 we'll have AI that passes the Turing test (the ability for a computer to fool humans into thinking it is human). By 2045, a thousand dollars will buy a computer one billion times more intelligent than every human combined and technological development will be taken over by machines who can think, act and communicate so quickly that humans can’t even comprehend what is going on.

    A tough pill to swallow, I know. But that is the difference between our linear intuition and where the exponential technological curve—the one that’s been proven out over the last century—is actually taking us.
    But before we get too wide, let’s take a step back for a minute. Let’s use self-refraction technology as an example as to why we need context. If you’re tempted to look at refraction technology as an assault on patient health, you’re truly not seeing the forest for the trees. Going only slightly wider, we see that technology allowing machines to actually diagnose disease already is much further along.

    Google Deepmind’s AI can detect more than 50 eye diseases more accurately than a doctor.

    FDA approves AI-powered diagnostic for diabetic retinopathy that doesn’t need a doctor’s help.

    AI can detect lung cancer and heart disease more accurately than doctors.

    And as I mentioned, we’re only just getting started. This is but a tiny glimpse of the technologies being developed and used at this very moment.

    Okay… about to go wide again.

    I think Hollywood has managed to inoculate the general public against...the idea that machines will take over the world. We’ve cried wolf enough times [in film], the public has stopped paying attention because it feels like science fiction. Even sitting here, talking about it right now, feels a little bit silly, a little bit like this is an artifact of some cheese ball movie. But it’s not. The general public is about to get blindsided...
    —Jonathan Nolan


    To get a better idea of what I am talking about, take a minute to watch this trailer.

    Then, when you have time watch the full documentary.

    Changes of any kind have a way of driving fear in us and we, as a species, have never faced changes of this scope and magnitude.

    Yet, like junkies (fed by politicians and fear-peddling media) we crave that which scares us. So it’s not surprising that we overwhelmingly believe the world is going to hell in a handbasket; that society, the economy, the optical industry, are only getting worse. And—for those paying attention at least—we are headed for a Terminator-like scenario where humans become an impediment to the machines. However, if you actually look at the data, in almost every case the opposite is true. The world getting better, much better actually.

    Does that mean that we are not headed for doom?

    Not necessarily. But, for all the challenges we have faced as a species, humanity has thus far managed to come out better for it.

    So, what if instead of being clouded and controlled by fear, we accept that our near future will be very different; that changes will only continue to happen at an accelerated pace; and that the most important skills we can have, as professionals and as humans, are the abilities to keep learning and to adapt.

    While we may not know exactly what that future will look like, we can search for ways to take advantage of each new change as we see it coming, rather than ignoring it and hoping someone else will make it go away. We can look for opportunities that might benefit us, our community, and those we love.

    Because it hits closest to home, our tendency is to be most concerned about our livelihood. This is a primary driver of Optical Retail Success—to wake people up to the fact that changes are happening that we can no longer ignore and to get people to think differently about how we might adapt and bring about a better future.

    No matter how far technology takes us, people will crave experiences, they will crave the unique, they will crave empathy and humanity. Keeping that in mind will not only help us navigate the future, but it will also help us succeed today.

    source:
    http://www.laramyk.com/optician-succ...for-the-future


    Chris Ryser
    ________________________________________
    DLO. NA.IC.I.T.PO

    http://optochemicals.com............................. http://arcoatings.com

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    Master OptiBoarder OptiBoard Silver Supporter Barry Santini's Avatar
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    Two futures for opticians:

    Skilled

    Disposable

    Which will you choose?

    B

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    Master OptiBoarder OptiBoard Silver Supporter
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    Quote Originally Posted by Barry Santini View Post
    Two futures for opticians:

    Skilled

    Disposable

    Which will you choose?

    B
    Well....I think we (One of the 3 O's) know which we would like!
    By the way, who is Keith Benjamin? Well written.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Barry Santini View Post
    Two futures for opticians:

    Skilled

    Disposable

    Which will you choose?

    B
    But what if the AI was more skilled than us?

    I think we have to adopt technology increasingly faster in order to prosper.

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    Redhot Jumper Well....I think we (One of the 3 O's) know which we would like! .....................

    Quote Originally Posted by Don Gilman View Post

    Well....I think we (One of the 3 O's) know which we would like!
    By the way, who is Keith Benjamin? Well written.

    ..........................part of still family owned lab in the USA
    Chris Ryser
    ________________________________________
    DLO. NA.IC.I.T.PO

    http://optochemicals.com............................. http://arcoatings.com

  6. #6
    Manuf. Lens Surface Treatments
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chris Ryser View Post

    ..........................part of still family owned lab in the USA
    here it is :

    Laramy-K Optical Lab - Independent, Digital, and Uncut

    www.laramyk.com/





    Family-owned, independent wholesale optical lab for the best in digital freeform lenses and AR coatings.
    Chris Ryser
    ________________________________________
    DLO. NA.IC.I.T.PO

    http://optochemicals.com............................. http://arcoatings.com

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    Blue Jumper By the way, who is Keith Benjamin? Well written....................................

    Quote Originally Posted by Don Gilman View Post

    Well....I think we (One of the 3 O's) know which we would like!
    By the way, who is Keith Benjamin? Well written.



    ..................by the way I just found him also listed as a member right here on optiBoard, as follows:

    Basic Information
    About keithbenjamin
    Location:
    Atlanta, GA
    Interests:
    film making, marketing. education
    Occupation or Field:
    Optical Wholesale Lab (other positions)
    Signature

    Laramy-K Optical - The Independent Lab for the Independent Practitioner
    Chris Ryser
    ________________________________________
    DLO. NA.IC.I.T.PO

    http://optochemicals.com............................. http://arcoatings.com

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